My Oscar picks 2016

Jett Jergens-oscar_statue

Update: 15 for 24. I think I speak for myself and Mr. Sylvester Stallone when I say DAMN YOU RYLANCE!

ORIGINAL POST:

So here are my picks for Sunday’s Academy Awards. I’m expecting a bumpy ride this year. A lot of the leading indicators have been more mixed than usual.

This entry will be short because I said most of what I know and think about how to pick the winners here.

I’m listing all the nominees and who I think will win, so you can play along with me. You can get a printable list of nominees here. I’ll be live tweeting and updating this entry during the show Sunday.

But enough bet-hedging! Onto the picks:

Best Picture

The Big Short

Bridge of Spies

Brooklyn

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER

Room

Spotlight – ACTUAL WINNER

Best Actor in a Leading Role

Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Matt Damon, The Martian

Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Michael Fassbender, Steve Jobs

Eddie Redmayne, The Danish Girl

Best Actress in a Leading Role

Cate Blanchett, Carol

Brie Larson, Room – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Charlotte Rampling, 45 Years

Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Best Actor in a Supporting Role

Christian Bale, The Big Short

Tom Hardy, The Revenant

Mark Ruffalo, Spotlight

Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies – ACTUAL WINNER

Sylvester Stallone, Creed – PREDICTED WINNER

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

Rooney Mara, Carol

Rachel McAdams, Spotlight

Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs

Best Director

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Room

Spotlight

Best Animated Feature Film

Anomalisa

Boy and the World

Inside Out – PREDICTED WINNER  and ACTUAL WINNER

Shaun the Sheep Movie

When Marnie Was There

Best Cinematography

Carol

The Hateful Eight

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Sicario

Best Costume Design

Carol

Cinderella

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

The Revenant

Best Documentary, Feature

Amy – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Cartel Land

The Look of Silence What Happened, Miss Simone?

Winter on Fire: Ukraine’s Fight for Freedom

Best Documentary, Short Subject

Body Team 12  – PREDICTED WINNER

Chau, beyond the Lines

Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah

A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness – ACTUAL WINNER

Last Day of Freedom

Best Film Editing

The Big Short

Mad Max: Fury Road – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

The Revenant

Spotlight

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Foreign Language Film

Embrace of the Serpent

Mustang

Son of Saul – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Theeb

A War

Best Make-Up and Hairstyling

Mad Max: Fury Road – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

The 100-Year-Old Man

Who Climbed out the Window and Disappeared

The Revenant

Best Music, Original Score

Bridge of Spies

Carol

The Hateful Eight – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Music, Original Song

“Earned It,” Fifty Shades of Grey

“Manta Ray,” Racing Extinction

“Simple Song #3,” Youth

“Til It Happens To You,” The Hunting Ground – PREDICTED WINNER

“Writing’s On The Wall,” Spectre – ACTUAL WINNER

Best Production Design

Bridge of Spies

The Danish Girl

Mad Max: Fury Road – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

The Martian

The Revenant

Best Short Film, Animated

Bear Story – ACTUAL WINNER

Prologue

Sanjay’s Super Team

We Can’t Live without Cosmos

World of Tomorrow – PREDICTED WINNER

Best Short Film, Live Action

Ave Maria  – PREDICTED WINNER

Day One

Everything Will Be Okay (Alles Wird Gut)

Shok

Stutterer – ACTUAL WINNER

Best Sound Editing

Mad Max: Fury Road – ACTUAL WINNER

The Martian

The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER

Sicario

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Sound Mixing

Bridge of Spies

Mad Max: Fury Road – ACTUAL WINNER

The Martian

The Revenant – PREDICTED WINNER

Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Best Visual Effects

Ex Machina – ACTUAL WINNER

Mad Max: Fury Road

The Martian

The Revenant

Star Wars: The Force Awakens – PREDICTED WINNER

Best Writing, Adapted Screenplay

The Big Short – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Brooklyn

Carol

The Martian

Room

Best Writing, Original Screenplay

Bridge of Spies

Ex Machina

Inside Out

Spotlight  – PREDICTED WINNER and ACTUAL WINNER

Straight Outta Compton

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